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Red35
40615.5
54812.8
Blue30
55711.2
3268.2
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030403530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
406
Unranked
15.53.1
15.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
557
Unranked
11.20.6
11.211.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
548
Unranked
12.83.3
15.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
326
Unranked
8.25.3
6.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End