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Red18
18810.7
8229.4
Blue29
91012.7
1829.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2419010304050601829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
Unranked
10.70.8
12.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
910
Unranked
12.70.8
11.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
822
Unranked
9.40.8
10.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
182
Unranked
9.20.8
8.39.2
Auto
Teleop
End