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Red33
1119.2
9039.6
Blue30
57314.7
83513.5
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030403330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
903
Unranked
9.60.1
12.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
573
Unranked
14.70.5
11.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
111
Unranked
9.22.1
14.412.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
835
Unranked
13.51.5
13.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End