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Red50
4911.7
5157.9
Blue10
81511.1
2928.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172804060801001205010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49
Unranked
11.72.5
7.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
815
Unranked
11.12.8
11.38.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
515
Unranked
7.92.8
12.114.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
292
Unranked
8.42.8
13.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End