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Red21
44014.8
18411.6
Blue33
50310.1
1829.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252301020304050602133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
440
Unranked
14.80.8
13.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
503
Unranked
10.10.8
12.313.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
184
Unranked
11.60.8
10.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
182
Unranked
9.20.8
11.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End