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Red17
28015.5
81511.1
Blue38
3229.3
27410.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192604060801001738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
Unranked
15.51.1
11.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
274
Unranked
10.80.9
13.814.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
815
Unranked
11.11.1
8.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
322
Unranked
9.31.1
10.511.6
Auto
Teleop
End