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Red20
8309.3
83513.5
Blue36
2928.4
12310.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2321010304050602036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
835
Unranked
13.51.1
12.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
123
Unranked
10.51.1
10.511.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
830
Unranked
9.31.0
9.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
292
Unranked
8.41.1
11.012.1
Auto
Teleop
End