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Red40
89414.7
9412.2
Blue14
4683.5
9039.6
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22225101520253035404014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
Unranked
14.71.7
11.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
903
Unranked
9.61.7
12.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
94
Unranked
12.21.3
10.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
468
Unranked
3.51.7
9.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End