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Red37
81511.1
31313.5
Blue11
1829.2
6588.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162704060801003711

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
313
Unranked
13.52.0
10.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
182
Unranked
9.22.0
11.99.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
815
Unranked
11.12.0
7.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
658
Unranked
8.22.0
12.510.5
Auto
Teleop
End