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Red41
9412.2
4713.5
Blue38
8629.2
55711.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2821010405060704138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47
Unranked
13.50.0
14.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
557
Unranked
11.20.0
12.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
94
Unranked
12.20.0
11.611.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
862
Unranked
9.20.0
9.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End