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Red11
30811.0
30214.6
Blue33
51915.4
24016.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303015202535401133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
Unranked
14.61.0
16.915.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
240
Unranked
16.00.9
15.015.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
308
Unranked
11.01.4
13.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
519
Unranked
15.40.9
14.815.7
Auto
Teleop
End