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Red37
56016.5
24511.4
Blue30
27915.0
18411.6
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242451015203035403730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
560
Unranked
16.50.5
13.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
279
Unranked
15.00.5
13.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
245
Unranked
11.40.3
10.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
184
Unranked
11.60.5
10.810.4
Auto
Teleop
End