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Red30
9039.6
51915.4
Blue44
3314.4
4713.5
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2727152025303540453044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
519
Unranked
15.40.5
15.715.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
33
Unranked
14.40.9
12.713.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
903
Unranked
9.60.9
11.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
47
Unranked
13.50.5
14.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End