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Red20
54812.8
27915.0
Blue10
47111.9
30811.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262204060801001202010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
279
Unranked
15.00.5
13.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
471
Unranked
11.90.3
11.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
548
Unranked
12.80.5
12.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
308
Unranked
11.00.5
11.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End