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Red30
39710.8
90312.2
Blue39
8588.9
858.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222404060801001201401603039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
903
Unranked
12.20.4
9.89.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
858
Unranked
8.90.5
11.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
397
Unranked
10.80.3
12.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
85
Unranked
8.50.5
12.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End