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Red21
44713.5
23510.7
Blue27
2175.9
55411.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261604060801002127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
Unranked
13.50.7
13.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
554
Unranked
11.90.7
12.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
235
Unranked
10.70.5
10.610.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
217
Unranked
5.90.6
6.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End