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Red33
20112.3
1011.9
Blue28
9309.1
44713.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242304060801001201403328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
Unranked
12.30.2
13.313.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
447
Unranked
13.50.3
12.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
10
Unranked
11.90.3
10.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
930
Unranked
9.10.3
10.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End