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Red35
1011.9
55411.9
Blue42
10714.9
20112.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212804060801003542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
554
Unranked
11.90.2
11.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
107
Unranked
14.90.2
13.313.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
10
Unranked
11.90.2
10.810.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
201
Unranked
12.30.1
13.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End