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Red38
26914.8
46112.9
Blue25
858.5
7114.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272204060803825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
269
Unranked
14.80.7
13.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
71
Unranked
14.10.7
13.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
461
Unranked
12.90.4
12.613.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
85
Unranked
8.50.7
10.39.7
Auto
Teleop
End