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Red40
9314.8
7915.5
Blue20
1011.9
51916.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31250204060804020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
Unranked
15.50.6
13.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
519
Unranked
16.20.6
14.213.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
93
Unranked
14.81.0
16.117.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
10
Unranked
11.91.0
11.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End