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Red21
49615.0
31116.6
3419.7
Blue20
35816.2
5611.1
8709.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443702060801002120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
311
Unranked
16.60.0
17.016.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
358
Unranked
16.20.0
16.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
496
Unranked
15.00.0
15.515.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
56
Unranked
11.10.0
11.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
341
Unranked
9.70.0
10.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
870
Unranked
9.90.0
10.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End