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Red32
2814.3
17312.3
46713.9
Blue10
56912.6
26313.1
53312.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29450204060801003210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28
Unranked
14.30.5
11.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
263
Unranked
13.10.5
14.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
467
Unranked
13.90.5
11.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
569
Unranked
12.60.5
13.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
173
Unranked
12.30.5
9.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
533
Unranked
12.40.5
13.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End