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Red23
23014.7
46713.9
Blue32
54512.9
19516.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23250102030405060702332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
14.70.5
12.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
195
Unranked
16.10.5
12.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
467
Unranked
13.90.5
11.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
545
Unranked
12.90.5
12.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End