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Red10
46713.9
3419.7
Blue21
5709.1
56912.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2225010304050601021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
Unranked
13.90.6
10.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
569
Unranked
12.60.6
12.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
Unranked
9.70.6
11.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
570
Unranked
9.10.6
11.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End