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Red33
2814.3
27013.4
Blue30
88410.2
1258.8
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232351015203035403330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28
Unranked
14.30.2
12.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
884
Unranked
10.20.2
12.412.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
270
Unranked
13.40.2
11.511.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
125
Unranked
8.80.2
10.810.6
Auto
Teleop
End