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Red35
56412.4
87111.6
Blue57
31116.6
22411.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2327010405060703557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
564
Unranked
12.41.2
11.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
311
Unranked
16.60.8
13.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
871
Unranked
11.61.2
12.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
224
Unranked
11.01.2
12.814.0
Auto
Teleop
End