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Red45
35316.1
54512.9
Blue10
8709.9
3818.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2426010203040504510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
Unranked
16.12.3
11.613.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
870
Unranked
9.92.3
13.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
545
Unranked
12.92.3
12.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
381
Unranked
8.92.3
12.19.8
Auto
Teleop
End