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Red45
54512.9
31116.6
Blue10
17312.3
3419.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322204060801004510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
311
Unranked
16.61.1
14.315.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
173
Unranked
12.31.9
12.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
545
Unranked
12.91.9
15.016.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
341
Unranked
9.71.5
11.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End