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Red30
88410.2
27114.3
Blue49
53312.4
54512.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272725303540453049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
Unranked
14.31.2
14.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
545
Unranked
12.91.2
16.818.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
884
Unranked
10.21.2
12.411.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
533
Unranked
12.41.2
10.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End