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Red40
17312.3
46713.9
Blue31
27013.4
3527.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1925010304050604031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
Unranked
13.90.8
10.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
270
Unranked
13.40.8
12.812.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
173
Unranked
12.30.8
9.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
352
Unranked
7.90.8
10.810.1
Auto
Teleop
End