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Red40
2879.7
87111.6
Blue20
3527.9
32912.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1724010203040504020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
871
Unranked
11.61.5
10.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
329
Unranked
12.51.5
12.210.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
287
Unranked
9.70.9
8.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
352
Unranked
7.91.5
10.18.6
Auto
Teleop
End