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Red39
5709.1
19516.1
Blue11
17312.3
2879.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2218010304050603911

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
Unranked
16.11.5
13.314.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
173
Unranked
12.31.5
9.27.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
570
Unranked
9.11.5
7.89.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
287
Unranked
9.71.0
9.78.7
Auto
Teleop
End