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Red39
15716.4
31116.6
Blue20
23014.7
56412.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32280204060801003920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
311
Unranked
16.60.6
15.516.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
230
Unranked
14.71.0
16.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
157
Unranked
16.41.0
15.716.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
564
Unranked
12.41.0
12.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End