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Red60
35816.2
17312.3
Blue20
2814.3
54512.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173501030405060706020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
Unranked
16.22.6
13.916.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
28
Unranked
14.32.6
14.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
173
Unranked
12.32.6
7.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
545
Unranked
12.92.6
16.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End