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Red22
3527.9
56912.6
Blue29
56412.4
5611.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22230103040502229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
569
Unranked
12.60.3
14.113.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
564
Unranked
12.40.3
11.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
352
Unranked
7.90.3
8.07.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
56
Unranked
11.10.3
11.011.4
Auto
Teleop
End