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Red39
27114.3
2879.7
Blue23
54512.9
41710.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222601030405060703923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
Unranked
14.30.9
13.814.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
545
Unranked
12.90.9
13.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
287
Unranked
9.70.7
9.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
417
Unranked
10.30.9
11.610.7
Auto
Teleop
End