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Red21
4715.9
3312.3
88810.5
Blue0
85711.4
6515.9
5037.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37340206080210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47
Unranked
15.90.2
15.215.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
65
Unranked
15.90.2
15.715.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33
Unranked
12.30.2
11.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
857
Unranked
11.40.2
11.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
888
Unranked
10.50.3
9.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
503
Unranked
7.90.2
7.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End