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Red39
6817.3
12311.5
Blue33
11210.6
24911.1
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322204060801003933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
Unranked
17.30.0
19.819.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
249
Unranked
11.10.0
12.312.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
123
Unranked
11.50.0
10.510.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
112
Unranked
10.60.0
12.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End