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Red40
1288.3
32213.0
Blue36
80811.9
6617.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203104060801001201404036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
322
Unranked
13.00.6
9.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
66
Unranked
17.40.6
17.216.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
128
Unranked
8.30.7
12.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
808
Unranked
11.90.6
11.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End