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Red46
32213.0
90414.5
Blue20
22610.8
88810.5
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424101520303540454620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
Unranked
14.51.7
13.815.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
226
Unranked
10.81.3
13.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
322
Unranked
13.01.3
10.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
888
Unranked
10.51.7
11.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End