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Red33
31413.9
5037.9
Blue30
1419.0
2715.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222251015202530353330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
Unranked
13.90.1
11.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
27
Unranked
15.40.2
13.813.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
503
Unranked
7.90.2
10.110.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
141
Unranked
9.00.2
8.07.8
Auto
Teleop
End