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Red65
6515.9
10713.8
Blue30
5037.9
85811.8
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371402060801006530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65
Unranked
15.91.0
17.618.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
858
Unranked
11.80.8
10.810.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
107
Unranked
13.80.8
14.815.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
503
Unranked
7.91.0
8.17.1
Auto
Teleop
End