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Red38
51813.1
47012.3
Blue39
23511.5
2715.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26261015203035403839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
518
Unranked
13.10.0
11.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
27
Unranked
15.40.0
15.215.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
470
Unranked
12.30.0
13.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
235
Unranked
11.50.0
10.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End