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Red30
5358.6
1288.3
Blue32
11210.6
2929.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2322101520253035403032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
535
Unranked
8.60.1
10.710.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
112
Unranked
10.60.1
12.812.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
128
Unranked
8.30.1
11.711.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
292
Unranked
9.40.1
9.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End