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Red45
6886.5
1419.0
Blue29
1018.7
5358.6
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181805101525303540454529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
Unranked
9.00.6
9.09.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
101
Unranked
8.70.6
7.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
688
Unranked
6.51.0
8.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
535
Unranked
8.60.6
10.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End