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Red32
7411.2
31413.9
Blue10
6586.1
85811.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23180103040506070803210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
Unranked
13.90.7
13.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
858
Unranked
11.80.7
10.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
74
Unranked
11.20.7
9.19.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
658
Unranked
6.10.7
8.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End