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Red20
22610.8
30111.3
Blue13
23511.5
8510.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212404060801001201401602013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
301
Unranked
11.30.3
11.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
235
Unranked
11.50.3
12.211.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
226
Unranked
10.80.3
10.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
85
Unranked
10.80.3
11.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End