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Red26
87712.6
93310.2
Blue33
87414.6
93413.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030402633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
877
Unranked
12.60.9
12.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
874
Unranked
14.62.0
14.612.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
933
Unranked
10.22.6
14.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
934
Unranked
13.30.8
13.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End