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Red33
93413.3
87612.1
Blue35
98211.0
89215.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26261015203035403335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
934
Unranked
13.30.1
13.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
892
Unranked
15.40.1
15.515.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
876
Unranked
12.10.1
12.612.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
982
Unranked
11.00.1
10.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End