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Red36
76415.1
89215.4
Blue11
80712.7
9699.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272204060801003611

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
892
Unranked
15.41.2
13.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
807
Unranked
12.71.4
10.28.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
764
Unranked
15.11.4
12.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
969
Unranked
9.21.4
13.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End